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Will the Greggs share value bounce or hunch on 8 January?

Coininsight by Coininsight
January 7, 2026
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Down 20% in 2 months! Will the Greggs share worth recuperate?
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Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office

Picture supply: Getty Photographs

The previous yr has been nice for UK shares and the FTSE 100 index particularly. The Footsie is up 22.6% over the previous 12 months, excluding money dividends. That’s its greatest acquire since 2021, when share costs roared again because the Covid-19 pandemic receded. Certainly, lots of my household portfolio’s UK shares are hitting document highs, with the notable exception of the Greggs (LSE: GRG) share value, which had a really horrible 2025. Nonetheless, I’m hopeful that this well-known FTSE 250 share could have a greater 2026.

Gloomy Greggs

At first, Greggs shares began final yr strongly, peaking at 2,890p on 8 January 2025 after reporting encouraging buying and selling outcomes. Alas, the share value has been sliding just about ever since. Certainly, by 24 November, the shares had halved in worth. Yikes.

On 25 November, I urged that shares within the high-street bakery chain had fallen too far and appeared a cut price to me. And since their November low of 1,407.2p, they’ve soared.

As I write, the Greggs share value stands at 1,733p, valuing this Newcastle-based agency at £1.8bn. That’s up virtually 1 / 4 (23.2%) since they bottomed out. This offers me hope that I can nonetheless spot a cut price enterprise once I see one.

For the document, my household portfolio purchased Greggs shares final July, paying 1,683p a share for our stake. Thus far, we’re sitting on a tiny paper acquire of 50p a share — up 3% — however I’ve excessive hopes for our future returns.

Discount baker?

At present value ranges, Greggs inventory nonetheless appears undervalued to me. The shares commerce on a modest a number of of 12.3 trailing earnings, delivering an earnings yield above 8.1% a yr. Additionally, their dividend yield of 4% beats the FTSE 100 and most different shares listed in London. Even higher, this payout appears stable, being lined greater than twice by historic earnings.

That mentioned, Greggs endured robust buying and selling situations in 2025. In addition to decrease gross sales progress, margins have been hit by greater prices — together with elevated employer Nationwide Insurance coverage contributions. And regardless of value rises, revenues, earnings, and money circulation all suffered.

Regardless of its heightened volatility in 2025, the Greggs share is definitely up 2.1% over the past six months. Nonetheless, the shares may see sharp value swings on Thursday, 8 January. That’s the day the group releases the buying and selling replace for the ultimate quarter of 2025.

After all, if these numbers look good and beat market expectations, then I’d anticipate the share value to leap. But when they show to be a humid squib, then the shares might hunch. Proper now, solely insiders have this information — the remainder of us have to take a seat tight till 7am on Thursday.

Lastly, it stays to be seen whether or not Greggs shares are a fallen angel (an excellent firm briefly struggling) or a falling knife (a share that continues to fall). Nonetheless, it doesn’t matter what occurs on 8 January, I believe we are going to maintain onto our shares till this fog clears!

What different shares are making huge strikes out there proper now?

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Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office

Picture supply: Getty Photographs

The previous yr has been nice for UK shares and the FTSE 100 index particularly. The Footsie is up 22.6% over the previous 12 months, excluding money dividends. That’s its greatest acquire since 2021, when share costs roared again because the Covid-19 pandemic receded. Certainly, lots of my household portfolio’s UK shares are hitting document highs, with the notable exception of the Greggs (LSE: GRG) share value, which had a really horrible 2025. Nonetheless, I’m hopeful that this well-known FTSE 250 share could have a greater 2026.

Gloomy Greggs

At first, Greggs shares began final yr strongly, peaking at 2,890p on 8 January 2025 after reporting encouraging buying and selling outcomes. Alas, the share value has been sliding just about ever since. Certainly, by 24 November, the shares had halved in worth. Yikes.

On 25 November, I urged that shares within the high-street bakery chain had fallen too far and appeared a cut price to me. And since their November low of 1,407.2p, they’ve soared.

As I write, the Greggs share value stands at 1,733p, valuing this Newcastle-based agency at £1.8bn. That’s up virtually 1 / 4 (23.2%) since they bottomed out. This offers me hope that I can nonetheless spot a cut price enterprise once I see one.

For the document, my household portfolio purchased Greggs shares final July, paying 1,683p a share for our stake. Thus far, we’re sitting on a tiny paper acquire of 50p a share — up 3% — however I’ve excessive hopes for our future returns.

Discount baker?

At present value ranges, Greggs inventory nonetheless appears undervalued to me. The shares commerce on a modest a number of of 12.3 trailing earnings, delivering an earnings yield above 8.1% a yr. Additionally, their dividend yield of 4% beats the FTSE 100 and most different shares listed in London. Even higher, this payout appears stable, being lined greater than twice by historic earnings.

That mentioned, Greggs endured robust buying and selling situations in 2025. In addition to decrease gross sales progress, margins have been hit by greater prices — together with elevated employer Nationwide Insurance coverage contributions. And regardless of value rises, revenues, earnings, and money circulation all suffered.

Regardless of its heightened volatility in 2025, the Greggs share is definitely up 2.1% over the past six months. Nonetheless, the shares may see sharp value swings on Thursday, 8 January. That’s the day the group releases the buying and selling replace for the ultimate quarter of 2025.

After all, if these numbers look good and beat market expectations, then I’d anticipate the share value to leap. But when they show to be a humid squib, then the shares might hunch. Proper now, solely insiders have this information — the remainder of us have to take a seat tight till 7am on Thursday.

Lastly, it stays to be seen whether or not Greggs shares are a fallen angel (an excellent firm briefly struggling) or a falling knife (a share that continues to fall). Nonetheless, it doesn’t matter what occurs on 8 January, I believe we are going to maintain onto our shares till this fog clears!

What different shares are making huge strikes out there proper now?

Tags: GreggsJanuaryjumpPriceshareSlump
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