The endlessly complicated and ever-changing influence of sanctions implies that whereas enhanced due diligence could also be a normal apply for working in a risk-heavy world, it’s something however adequate, argues Nick Henderson-Mayo of VinciWorks.
Sanctions regimes are altering on the tempo of geopolitics, which in 2025 is being upended by the minute. Simply if you suppose the foundations are agency, somebody wipes them away. The West is peeling again sanctions on Syria, whereas Russia and Iran have all however normalized subtle sanctions evasion ways, creating complete shadow economies exterior SWIFT. After which there’s the artwork and luxurious items world, performing as a gleaming Computer virus, rolling by way of compliance gates with tens of millions of kilos inside and valuable little scrutiny.
We’re not experiencing a traditional threat atmosphere.
In Syria, a long time of sanctions have unwound in a matter of months, whereas a regime with a monitor file of chemical weapons, terror alliances and arranged crime stays entrenched. Turkish builders are virtually salivating on the considered rebuilding Syria’s shattered cities, however who’s actually behind these contracts? May the identical regime operatives who constructed WMD websites be about to construct luxurious condo blocks, laundering the proceeds of state violence by way of development? The West appears to have determined sanctions fatigue is definitely worth the threat. However will probably be risk-exposed corporations on the enterprise finish of realpolitik.
The artwork market and high-value sellers have turn into the automobile of alternative for sanctions evasion by Syrian warlords and Hezbollah financiers. Artwork trades arms in freeports with much less scrutiny and oversight than a used-car dealership in St. Petersburg.
After which there’s crypto, the digital wild west and foreign money of alternative for cartels and crime lords. Even the laziest sanctioned actors can arrange a Tether pockets and switch funds globally in below 60 seconds. Western authorities are nonetheless patting themselves on the again for freezing Twister Money, however in the meantime, a dozen new mixers emerge each month. We can’t out-regulate crypto’s innovation pace. We are able to solely out-audit it, out-trace it and out-skeptic it.
So, how can companies successfully function on this risk-heavy world, once we’re anticipated to course of transactions from Syria whereas on the identical time probably going through jail for coping with a Russian? Maybe it’s time for companies to actually transcend the risk-based tick field and apply excessive due diligence to extreme instances or geopolitical hotspots.
This degree of deep and broad Know Your Buyer (KYC) can be a big step up from the legally mandated enhanced due diligence required of high-risk ventures. It means taking an investigator’s method to a probably harmful deal: inspecting the individuals concerned, the funding, the subcontractors, the last word homeowners after which their homeowners and benefactors as nicely.
Enhanced due diligence (EDD), the method outlined in Monetary Motion Process Pressure (FATF) steerage, was designed for a world the place dangers have been extra predictable, points like drug lords and carwashes or oligarch’s kids residing past their means (not that we’ve cracked that drawback but, both). EDD advises you to overview politically uncovered individuals (PEPs), search for high-risk third nations, confirm the supply of funds for bigger sums and think about digging one layer deeper than regular.
Excessive due diligence (EXDD), would go far past what’s legally required. It could be a mindset, not a guidelines. It means you don’t cease at one diploma of separation; you map out your complete possession chain right down to the smallest shareholding. You severely query why cash is being moved in a sure approach, not simply who moved it. You assume the worst till you could have stable proof in any other case. It’s about asking: May this fee, this asset or this purchaser, even not directly, connect with a sanctioned community, a state actor or a politically uncovered particular person? And if it might, you freeze it till you might be completely positive.
Enhanced due diligence will maintain you legally compliant, however excessive due diligence protects you and your shoppers in a dangerous world whereas enabling reputable enterprise to proceed. Within the very dangerous actual world of Syria, sanctions are being lifted. Nonetheless, the gamers on the bottom haven’t modified: politically uncovered cronies, militia-linked subcontractors and sanctioned banks working behind new entrance corporations.
An unusual enhanced due diligence course of may confirm a company registration or a passport and name it good. However excessive due diligence means interrogating the precise possession of a development associate, tracing money move again by way of each subcontract and mapping relationships that might hyperlink to a terrorist’s circle or sanctioned militias. Performed accurately, this type of excessive due diligence wouldn’t simply shield the agency; it might even assist corporations interact within the Syrian financial system, which the West has already fired the beginning gun on.
Much less respected actors — Iran, Russia and their proxies — are already deeply entrenched within the Syrian panorama. Any firm desirous about opening up a satellite tv for pc workplace in Damascus goes to be rubbing shoulders with (sanctioned) Russians. The chance publicity right here is that Russia and Iran have spent years constructing sanctions‑proof ecosystems, engineering layers of evasion so intricate that even their very own regulators can battle to trace them. In Russia’s case, this contains pivoting to bilateral clearing offers with pleasant states, experimenting with digital rouble transactions and dealing by way of fee corridors that reach nicely past the attain of SWIFT. Iran’s networks are arguably much more baroque: entrance corporations in Dubai, shell operations in Hong Kong, shadow banking in Turkey, every a brand new head of a Hydra that regrows sooner than enforcement can react.
Into this swamp pours crypto. It guarantees transparency on the blockchain, however mixers, tumblers and privateness cash shred these trails in seconds. Practically 40% of illicit crypto transactions are from sanctioned jurisdictions and entities. Oligarchs use their pace, liquidity and borderless nature to slide previous conventional compliance checkpoints. It’s like watching a river of cash disappear underground. When it resurfaces, you’ll be able to by no means make certain whose arms it handed by way of.
Excessive due diligence is the one practical method to start to work together with this high-risk world. Overlook static sanctions-screening lists. You want an lively tracing of pockets addresses, community evaluation of counterparties and a relentless deal with the helpful homeowners of the exchanges and OTC brokers concerned. Excessive due diligence would imply investing in blockchain analytics in addition to human intelligence, native partnerships and sample recognition instruments that transcend “title matching” to construct dynamic threat profiles.
Take Dubai. It has turn into a magnet for sanctioned wealth, as Russian oligarchs buy towers in money and Iranian proxies use intermediaries to funnel oil earnings into property and luxurious belongings. In the meantime, the Emirati sheikhs have negotiated their approach off the high-risk jurisdictions record. In a world of bribery, or worse, solely excessive due diligence has an opportunity to map the murky chain of relationships, determine the political entanglements and put collectively an image of hidden affect and layered proxies.
Excessive due diligence is the one true protection for any enterprise attempting to navigate a sanctions regime in items, the place evasion shouldn’t be an exception however your complete enterprise mannequin of your counterparty. If the previous few years have taught us something, it’s that compliance failures aren’t only a authorized threat; they’re an existential one.
The endlessly complicated and ever-changing influence of sanctions implies that whereas enhanced due diligence could also be a normal apply for working in a risk-heavy world, it’s something however adequate, argues Nick Henderson-Mayo of VinciWorks.
Sanctions regimes are altering on the tempo of geopolitics, which in 2025 is being upended by the minute. Simply if you suppose the foundations are agency, somebody wipes them away. The West is peeling again sanctions on Syria, whereas Russia and Iran have all however normalized subtle sanctions evasion ways, creating complete shadow economies exterior SWIFT. After which there’s the artwork and luxurious items world, performing as a gleaming Computer virus, rolling by way of compliance gates with tens of millions of kilos inside and valuable little scrutiny.
We’re not experiencing a traditional threat atmosphere.
In Syria, a long time of sanctions have unwound in a matter of months, whereas a regime with a monitor file of chemical weapons, terror alliances and arranged crime stays entrenched. Turkish builders are virtually salivating on the considered rebuilding Syria’s shattered cities, however who’s actually behind these contracts? May the identical regime operatives who constructed WMD websites be about to construct luxurious condo blocks, laundering the proceeds of state violence by way of development? The West appears to have determined sanctions fatigue is definitely worth the threat. However will probably be risk-exposed corporations on the enterprise finish of realpolitik.
The artwork market and high-value sellers have turn into the automobile of alternative for sanctions evasion by Syrian warlords and Hezbollah financiers. Artwork trades arms in freeports with much less scrutiny and oversight than a used-car dealership in St. Petersburg.
After which there’s crypto, the digital wild west and foreign money of alternative for cartels and crime lords. Even the laziest sanctioned actors can arrange a Tether pockets and switch funds globally in below 60 seconds. Western authorities are nonetheless patting themselves on the again for freezing Twister Money, however in the meantime, a dozen new mixers emerge each month. We can’t out-regulate crypto’s innovation pace. We are able to solely out-audit it, out-trace it and out-skeptic it.
So, how can companies successfully function on this risk-heavy world, once we’re anticipated to course of transactions from Syria whereas on the identical time probably going through jail for coping with a Russian? Maybe it’s time for companies to actually transcend the risk-based tick field and apply excessive due diligence to extreme instances or geopolitical hotspots.
This degree of deep and broad Know Your Buyer (KYC) can be a big step up from the legally mandated enhanced due diligence required of high-risk ventures. It means taking an investigator’s method to a probably harmful deal: inspecting the individuals concerned, the funding, the subcontractors, the last word homeowners after which their homeowners and benefactors as nicely.
Enhanced due diligence (EDD), the method outlined in Monetary Motion Process Pressure (FATF) steerage, was designed for a world the place dangers have been extra predictable, points like drug lords and carwashes or oligarch’s kids residing past their means (not that we’ve cracked that drawback but, both). EDD advises you to overview politically uncovered individuals (PEPs), search for high-risk third nations, confirm the supply of funds for bigger sums and think about digging one layer deeper than regular.
Excessive due diligence (EXDD), would go far past what’s legally required. It could be a mindset, not a guidelines. It means you don’t cease at one diploma of separation; you map out your complete possession chain right down to the smallest shareholding. You severely query why cash is being moved in a sure approach, not simply who moved it. You assume the worst till you could have stable proof in any other case. It’s about asking: May this fee, this asset or this purchaser, even not directly, connect with a sanctioned community, a state actor or a politically uncovered particular person? And if it might, you freeze it till you might be completely positive.
Enhanced due diligence will maintain you legally compliant, however excessive due diligence protects you and your shoppers in a dangerous world whereas enabling reputable enterprise to proceed. Within the very dangerous actual world of Syria, sanctions are being lifted. Nonetheless, the gamers on the bottom haven’t modified: politically uncovered cronies, militia-linked subcontractors and sanctioned banks working behind new entrance corporations.
An unusual enhanced due diligence course of may confirm a company registration or a passport and name it good. However excessive due diligence means interrogating the precise possession of a development associate, tracing money move again by way of each subcontract and mapping relationships that might hyperlink to a terrorist’s circle or sanctioned militias. Performed accurately, this type of excessive due diligence wouldn’t simply shield the agency; it might even assist corporations interact within the Syrian financial system, which the West has already fired the beginning gun on.
Much less respected actors — Iran, Russia and their proxies — are already deeply entrenched within the Syrian panorama. Any firm desirous about opening up a satellite tv for pc workplace in Damascus goes to be rubbing shoulders with (sanctioned) Russians. The chance publicity right here is that Russia and Iran have spent years constructing sanctions‑proof ecosystems, engineering layers of evasion so intricate that even their very own regulators can battle to trace them. In Russia’s case, this contains pivoting to bilateral clearing offers with pleasant states, experimenting with digital rouble transactions and dealing by way of fee corridors that reach nicely past the attain of SWIFT. Iran’s networks are arguably much more baroque: entrance corporations in Dubai, shell operations in Hong Kong, shadow banking in Turkey, every a brand new head of a Hydra that regrows sooner than enforcement can react.
Into this swamp pours crypto. It guarantees transparency on the blockchain, however mixers, tumblers and privateness cash shred these trails in seconds. Practically 40% of illicit crypto transactions are from sanctioned jurisdictions and entities. Oligarchs use their pace, liquidity and borderless nature to slide previous conventional compliance checkpoints. It’s like watching a river of cash disappear underground. When it resurfaces, you’ll be able to by no means make certain whose arms it handed by way of.
Excessive due diligence is the one practical method to start to work together with this high-risk world. Overlook static sanctions-screening lists. You want an lively tracing of pockets addresses, community evaluation of counterparties and a relentless deal with the helpful homeowners of the exchanges and OTC brokers concerned. Excessive due diligence would imply investing in blockchain analytics in addition to human intelligence, native partnerships and sample recognition instruments that transcend “title matching” to construct dynamic threat profiles.
Take Dubai. It has turn into a magnet for sanctioned wealth, as Russian oligarchs buy towers in money and Iranian proxies use intermediaries to funnel oil earnings into property and luxurious belongings. In the meantime, the Emirati sheikhs have negotiated their approach off the high-risk jurisdictions record. In a world of bribery, or worse, solely excessive due diligence has an opportunity to map the murky chain of relationships, determine the political entanglements and put collectively an image of hidden affect and layered proxies.
Excessive due diligence is the one true protection for any enterprise attempting to navigate a sanctions regime in items, the place evasion shouldn’t be an exception however your complete enterprise mannequin of your counterparty. If the previous few years have taught us something, it’s that compliance failures aren’t only a authorized threat; they’re an existential one.